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Index or Managed Fund?

Q.   I have about $600,000 in my company 403(b) plan, all invested in Fidelity Magellan. We have recently switched to the Vanguard family and have several choices there. One of the choices is the Vanguard 500 Index Fund. I am 58 and am looking at retiring at 62, if possible. I still plan to work after 62, but not at the same pace.

Would it be advantageous to switch from Magellan to the index?

I know that the index fund has management fees that are much lower and that tax treatment is better. Otherwise, I have $150,000 in various individual stocks, own my own home, and have no debt. Would you advise a change or just ride it out with Magellan?

---B.J., by e-mail

  

A. At this point you are facing a lot more decisions than choosing one fund over another, but lets start with the either/or decision. Having the Vanguard 500 Index fund as your core investment is the better bet because most funds fail to beat the index over the long term. In the last ten years, Magellan has beaten the index 4 times and lost to it 6 times. Magellan was behind the index at the end of the third quarter but was recently slightly ahead. Betting on Magellan is the equivalent of betting 'against the house.'   So I'd put my bet on the index fund.

Whatever you decide, it probably won't make a great deal of difference in your retirement because Magellan and the Vanguard 500 Index are so large and have been neck and neck for so many years.

Tax treatment of the two funds, by the way, is a matter of indifference when they are held within a qualified plan because no taxes are paid until withdrawal. If you were holding the two funds in a taxable account, however, Vanguard 500 Index would have grown to a greater value than Magellan over the last 15 years due to its higher tax efficiency.

The larger issue for you, as you enter retirement, is to develop a real portfolio--- one in which you have several different kinds of investments, not just one investment in one fund.

  

Q. I have been confused about what to do with some money I recently withdrew from mutual funds that is earmarked for my kids' college funds. Someone suggested 3-month Treasury bills, for instance. Or Treasury mutual funds. In a recent column of yours you mentioned the Monterey PIA Short-Term Government fund. As I researched this, I also came across some PIMCO funds that looked good as well.

I compare them all using Morningstar's rating service.

My question is this: The Monterey fund has the lowest expense ratio at 0.30 percent but the year-to-date yield is 6.88 percent. The PIMCO Real Return A fund has expenses of 0.94 percent with a yield of 10.17 and PIMCO Real Return D has expenses of 0.75 percent and a yield of 9.65.

Now I'm confused! How much of an impact does the expense ratio make--- would it wipe out the difference between funds?

  My other thought is to simply put some of the money in an S&P Index Fund. What should I do?

---J.L., by e-mail

  

A. There are two unrelated but crucial distinctions to make in comparing mutual funds. The first is to make certain that you don't confuse the "yield" of the fund--- the interest income received--- with the "total return" of the fund. The total return is the return from interest plus (or minus) the return from changes in value of the underlying bond portfolio.

If you use the trailing total return of a fund to judge its potential you will be misleading yourself into high expectations. Why?   Because bond funds show high returns as interest rates fall.

That can change in a heartbeat, however, if the economy revives and borrowing demand climbs. Interest rates would rise and bond values would decline.

  The second distinction is about how fund shares are distributed. Today, a fund company can have a single fund that is sold in three or four ways. Each way has a different price structure. Mutual fund "A" shares are traditional front-end commission funds that have lower expense ratios. "B" shares and "C" shares eliminate the front-end load by substituting a fee in the expense ratio, which lowers the total return compared to "A" shares.

As a practical matter, bond fund expenses should be watched even more closely than equity fund expenses.

My suggestion: look for a simple, pure no-load fund with relatively low expenses such as Vanguard Total Bond Market Index or Vanguard GNMA. You might also consider iSavings Bonds because the income is competitive and tax deferred.  



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About scottb

Scott Burns has covered the changing world of personal finance and investments for nearly 40 years. Today, he ranks as one of the five most widely read personal finance writers in the country. Scott began his career as a newspaper columnist at the Boston Herald in 1977 where he was also the financial editor. Nationally syndicated in 1981 and now distributed by Universal Press, the column appears in newspapers from Boston to Seattle. In 1985 he joined the staff of the Dallas Morning News where his column quickly became one of the most widely read features in the paper. He left the Dallas Morning News in 2006 to become one of the founders of AssetBuilder and its Chief Investment Strategist. Burns is a graduate of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1962). He has written four books, including "The Coming Generational Storm" (MIT Press, 2004) coauthored with economist Laurence J. Kotlikoff. His fourth book, also coauthored with Kotlikoff, was published in 2008 by Simon & Schuster. The paperback edition will be available in January, 2010.  "Spend Til' the End" uses consumption smoothing to demonstrate the errors of conventional financial planning. His business experience includes working as a staffer for a major consulting company and service as a director and audit chairman of a NASDAQ listed manufacturing company. He and his wife now live in Dripping Springs, a "hill country" town about 25 miles outside of Austin.


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