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The Investment Equivalent of Working at Wal-Mart

Today's cosmic question:   What's the best investment a retired person can make these days?

Answer: Getting a day job.

I'm serious. Investment returns are so low millions of retirees need to think about going back to work, at least part time.

You can understand why by doing an exercise with me. First, we're going to figure out how much money you can make working an 8 hour day, one day a week, 52 weeks a year. Then we're going to see how much you'd need to invest to produce the same amount of cash income.

Gird yourself.

The largest employer in the United States is Wal-Mart. With 1.3 million "associates" the company employs three times as many people as General Motors (386,000).   Indeed, Wal-Mart employs more than the next three largest employers--- General Motors, McDonalds (364,000), and United Parcel Service (359,000)--- combined. It also employs twice as many people as IBM (316,000) and GE (313,000) combined.

We're talking big. Very, very big.

That makes Wal-Mart a prime source of jobs. To paraphrase bank robber Willie Sutton, we'll look there "Because that's where the jobs are." It also helps that Wal-Mart is growing while most of corporate America is shrinking.

Sorry, you probably won't get a job as a Wal-Mart Greeter. As gigantic as the company is, there are only 1,568 Wal-Mart stores, 1,258 Wal-Mart Supercenters, and 525 Sam's Clubs in the United States. That's a total of 3,351 stores. So if you're going to work at Wal-Mart you shouldn't count on being a greeter--- even though the company plans to add nearly 300 stores in the coming year.

Although the starting wage is definitely lower, a recent analysis indicates that most Wal-Mart employees work less than 30 hours a week, don't have health insurance, and earn $8 to $9 an hour.

So if you worked one eight-hour shift at Wal-Mart every week and earned $8.00 an hour, you'd gross $3,328 for the year before employment taxes of 7.65 percent. That means your after-employment tax wages would be $3,073.   (Sorry to seem so persnickety about this but your don't have to pay employment taxes on your interest and dividend income and we want an apples to apples comparison.)

Now comes the hard part. We take the family checkbook to the different investments and write a check large enough to earn $3,073 in a year.

First we'll try something easy, buying a one-year Certificate of Deposit. According to Banxquote, the national average yield on a 1-year CD was 1.11 percent. That means you'll need to buy a CD in the amount of $276,883. That's a rather hefty sum.

All right, then.

Let's try a 2-year Treasury note. According to Bloomberg those are currently yielding about 1.53 percent. To equal working at Wal-Mart you'll need to commit $200,876 to the U.S. Treasury.

Let's try stocks.

If we invest in a major index fund, like Vanguard 500 Index, we'll earn 1.72 percent in dividends. We'll have to write a check for $178,686 to equal our income from Wal-Mart. (Wal-Mart stock itself, by the way, yields only 0.6%   so you'd need to invest $512,235 to produce the income of a single shift.)

How about a longer commitment? Right now, yields on 5-year bank CDs are 2.97 percent, slightly better than the 2.75 percent yield on 5-year Treasury notes. We'll only need $103,482 in a 5-year CD to produce $3,073.

Finally, we can make a long-term commitment and put our money in a 10-year Treasury. They're currently yielding about 3.79 percent. So if you have $81,092, you'll be able to equal the income you can earn by working one day a week at Wal-Mart.

Unfortunately, we have a problem.

According to the most recent Federal Reserve report on Consumer Finances, half of all American households have a net worth of $80,700 or less.

Websites:

Bank CD rates

Treasury yields

Wal-Mart website

Hostile site Wal-Mart store locator

Wal-Mart Class Action Suit information

Only published comments... Mar 09 2003, 01:37 PM by scottb


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About scottb

Scott Burns has covered the changing world of personal finance and investments for nearly 40 years. Today, he ranks as one of the five most widely read personal finance writers in the country. Scott began his career as a newspaper columnist at the Boston Herald in 1977 where he was also the financial editor. Nationally syndicated in 1981 and now distributed by Universal Press, the column appears in newspapers from Boston to Seattle. In 1985 he joined the staff of the Dallas Morning News where his column quickly became one of the most widely read features in the paper. He left the Dallas Morning News in 2006 to become one of the founders of AssetBuilder and its Chief Investment Strategist. Burns is a graduate of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1962). He has written four books, including "The Coming Generational Storm" (MIT Press, 2004) coauthored with economist Laurence J. Kotlikoff. His fourth book, also coauthored with Kotlikoff, was published in 2008 by Simon & Schuster. The paperback edition will be available in January, 2010.  "Spend Til' the End" uses consumption smoothing to demonstrate the errors of conventional financial planning. His business experience includes working as a staffer for a major consulting company and service as a director and audit chairman of a NASDAQ listed manufacturing company. He and his wife now live in Dripping Springs, a "hill country" town about 25 miles outside of Austin.


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