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The Weak Wallet Signal

Quiz: A friend arrives driving a new Ferrari 612, the latest automotive masterpiece from Italy. With a top price approaching $260,000 , a modest additional sales tax would put its cost on par with the price of the average new home.

    What is the first question you ask?

    Odds are it won’t be: “Gee, what kind of gas mileage does it get?”

    Similarly, you won’t inquire about its slender trunk space, knowing that anyone with such a car is a practiced Just-In-Time shopper. He avoids the tedium of packing with his credit card.

    If interested, you could inquire discretely by visiting www.fueleconomy.gov.   There you would learn that the Ferrari gets 11 mpg in the city, 17 on the highway. It would cost about $2,584 to keep it in premium gasoline for a year, assuming that it is driven about 15,000 miles a year and premium gas costs $2.24 a gallon.

    As a practical matter the cost of gasoline is irrelevant to those who drive $260,000 cars. Indeed, the cost of gasoline matters little to those who drive $100,000 cars, $50,000 cars, and $25,000 cars.

And that may be the problem.

The United States is such a rich country, with such small taxes on gasoline, that the price of fuel is nearly trivial. Drivers may grumble at the pump, but when push comes to shove the price of gasoline ranks with too many cell phone minutes--- an inconvenience, not a disaster. Because of that, it’s difficult for Americans to sense the economy is bleeding as billions are exported to import oil.

Think of it as a ‘weak wallet signal’ problem. The indicator the works well to keep most people from buying their caviar by the pound simply doesn’t work for energy.

    The fastest way to understand this is to examine the cost of owning and operating an automobile, courtesy of the American Automobile Association . According to their figures, gas and oil for a Mercury Grand Marquis was 7.5 cents a mile in 2004. That’s less than 12 percent of the 65.4 cent a mile total cost. Indeed, insurance cost more than gas and oil. Depreciation, the largest cost of owning a car, was four times as much as the cost of gas and oil.

    And that’s for a Mercury Grand Marquis. Grandiose name notwithstanding, even the Grand Marquis LS Ultimate is sticker priced at a less than regal $30,920. That’s only $1,000 over the average sticker price. If you own a more expensive car your insurance and depreciation will cost more--- but the cost of gas and oil may be the same or lower. A Mercedes Benz E320, for instance, costs nearly twice as much as the Grand Marquis but has the same cost of gas and oil.

    Now go a step further. According to surveys,  Americans spend about 19 percent of income on transportation, mostly on automobiles. Less than 12 percent of that is spent on gas and oil. Result: for most Americans, gasoline is only about 2 percent of income. For the affluent it is much less.

        The lesson here is simple: the more affluent we are, the more we may need to look beyond the wallet signal.

Only published comments... Aug 01 2005, 10:34 AM by scottb
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About scottb

Scott Burns has covered the changing world of personal finance and investments for nearly 40 years. Today, he ranks as one of the five most widely read personal finance writers in the country. Scott began his career as a newspaper columnist at the Boston Herald in 1977 where he was also the financial editor. Nationally syndicated in 1981 and now distributed by Universal Press, the column appears in newspapers from Boston to Seattle. In 1985 he joined the staff of the Dallas Morning News where his column quickly became one of the most widely read features in the paper. He left the Dallas Morning News in 2006 to become one of the founders of AssetBuilder and its Chief Investment Strategist. Burns is a graduate of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1962). He has written four books, including "The Coming Generational Storm" (MIT Press, 2004) coauthored with economist Laurence J. Kotlikoff. His fourth book, also coauthored with Kotlikoff, was published in 2008 by Simon & Schuster. The paperback edition will be available in January, 2010.  "Spend Til' the End" uses consumption smoothing to demonstrate the errors of conventional financial planning. His business experience includes working as a staffer for a major consulting company and service as a director and audit chairman of a NASDAQ listed manufacturing company. He and his wife now live in Dripping Springs, a "hill country" town about 25 miles outside of Austin.


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