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When to invest, when to pay down debt

Few questions are more vexing. No question, if you are in the position to ask it, is a better sign of good financial health.

T.P., a reader in Georgia, asks this question for his son. "He and his wife, both 31, have no debts other than a 30-year mortgage on their home purchased 2 years ago.   They are contributing 15% of their combined total income of $130,000 to their respective employer's 401(k) plans.   They estimate that they could contribute up to 25% to their 401(k) s but instead they have been applying the additional 10% to paying down the principal on their home loan.

Over the long haul which alternative, increasing their 401(k) savings or principal deduction, should be their number 1 priority?"

The answer depends on your age, your tax bracket, and future inflation. For more than 50 years American homeowners have benefited from borrowing as much as possible for as long as possible.   Until 1977 we borrowed at regulated interest rates that were barely over the rate of inflation. As a consequence, you paid back much less purchasing power than you borrowed. The result was a larger and more affluent middle class. Even in the period that followed, when interest rates exceeded inflation, homeowners benefited from interest rates that were often below the appreciation rate of their houses.

(Note that this is not universal. There have been periods and places where home values declined. Homeowners in much of the mid-west and central parts of the country aren't to be confused with homeowners on the east or west coast. For some, homeownership has been like holding a winning lottery ticket.)

Many financial planners argue that you should be slow to pay down the debt because (1) it's net cost is zero when tax benefits are considered and (2) you can earn a higher return investing the money elsewhere. I agree with the first part. I think the second part is cheap talk--- easier said than done.

In fact, the most important issue isn't relative returns. It's financial strength. That comes from liquidity and security. Both are important at all ages. You can own your home free and clear but if you have no other assets you will be forced to sell it if you lose your job. That's why I measure financial security in staying power.

What's staying power?

It's how long your liquid financial assets--- not money in your 401(k)--- will support your current standard of living (and debt). Surveys routinely show that most Americans will be in deep trouble within a few weeks of losing their job. To avoid major losses when you are forced to sell assets (like your house or car) you need to have liquid assets--- deposit accounts, money market accounts, and short term fixed income mutual funds---that will provide staying power. The longer your staying power, the better.

This is not entirely defensive. If you have staying power, you are more likely to be aggressive in wage and salary discussions. If you don't have staying power--- if every dime of income is committed before your receive it and you don't have any savings--- you can't argue very forcefully because you can't afford to lose your job.

The benefits of a staying power fund can be substantial. First, it earns an interest rate approaching 4 percent in the current market. Second, if you have three months of income in your fund and it allows you to negotiate just 1 percentage point more in salary, the additional "return" is another 4 percent. That's a total of 8 percent, simply for having some cash on hand.

The same fund, if large enough, can also help you buy real bargains because you'll have cash when most don't. Remember, the fastest way to empty a room, anywhere in America, is to ask how many can come up with $5,000 without borrowing.

Bottom line: Priority one for young couples is to build a staying power fund, not additional 401(k) contributions beyond capturing their employer match.

Once the fund has been established, additional savings should go into longer term investments based on safety, expected relative return, and long term goals. A 30-year old should build investment assets. A 50-year old, on the other hand, needs to put emphasis on debt reduction because all but the most affluent should plan to eliminate debt service by the time they retire.

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About scottb

Scott Burns has covered the changing world of personal finance and investments for nearly 40 years. Today, he ranks as one of the five most widely read personal finance writers in the country. Scott began his career as a newspaper columnist at the Boston Herald in 1977 where he was also the financial editor. Nationally syndicated in 1981 and now distributed by Universal Press, the column appears in newspapers from Boston to Seattle. In 1985 he joined the staff of the Dallas Morning News where his column quickly became one of the most widely read features in the paper. He left the Dallas Morning News in 2006 to become one of the founders of AssetBuilder and its Chief Investment Strategist. Burns is a graduate of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1962). He has written four books, including "The Coming Generational Storm" (MIT Press, 2004) coauthored with economist Laurence J. Kotlikoff. His fourth book, also coauthored with Kotlikoff, will be published this spring by Simon & Schuster. "Spend Til' the End" uses consumption smoothing to demonstrate the errors of conventional financial planning. His business experience includes working as a staffer for a major consulting company and service as a director and audit chairman of a NASDAQ listed manufacturing company. He and his wife divide their time between Dallas and Santa Fe, New Mexico.
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