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Should You Save, or Spend, in your 50's?

Q. Would you please write about empty-nesters who put their retirement in jeopardy or delay it by moving up to more expensive homes, buying boats, vacation homes, etc.? Many people (including my husband) have a golden opportunity to catch up with their retirement savings when the kids are grown, college is paid for and their income is at its peak, but they want to spend the extra instead of using this time as an opportunity to catch up.

---G.G., by email from Arlington, TX



A. Our 50s are the "make-or-break" decade for most Americans. It's when reality can make a mess of your life, big time, or you can choose to make the mess all by yourself.

We are encouraged to save by our employers and a mind-numbing volume of advertisements from the financial services industry. In spite of that, few people in their 20's save. Ditto their 30's. Those are the years of acquisition--- or paying off student loans.

Most people start to save in their 40's and, if they are smart, really get into it in their 50's. While that may seem too late to make a major change, it's a good time to work on making the transition from working smooth.

Basically, we all face a choice when the last tuition bill is paid. We can increase our standard of living (buy that boat, take that cruise). That can make it inevitable we'll be living in reduced circumstances later.

Or we can save enough to smooth our transition from working to retirement.

Here's how it works. The most common measure of retirement security is called the "income replacement rate"--- the percentage of your final working income that is needed to have the same standard of living in retirement--- after adjustment for work expenses, tax changes, etc. That figure generally runs from 70 to 85 percent.

A single earner couple with a working income of $70,000, for instance, needs a retirement income of $56,000. That's a replacement rate of 80 percent. About half of that amount will come from Social Security. The remainder, about 40 percent, must come from savings.

But if you save 20 percent of your income rather than spend it, you'll do two things. First, you'll increase your savings. But you'll also reduce the income you need to replace from 80 percent to 60 percent because you won't be saving when you are retired.

Basically, the 50s are your last chance to close the gap between your working income and future retirement income. (To see income replacement rates and nest eggs for incomes from $30,000 to $90,000, visit the URL below.)

Tuesday, June 15, 2004: A nest egg that won't crack easily



Q. Why are dividends and capital gains taxed at 15 percent, or less, while earned income is taxed at higher rates. Did you know that Warren Buffett has a tax rate that is lower than his secretary, and he is the second richest man in the United States?

---J.L., by email, from Dallas, TX A. The conventional economic argument is that taxing dividends is double taxation because the corporation has already paid taxes on the dividend income it distributes. The same double taxation is why some corporations have reorganized into partnerships so all income can be passed through to investors--- they avoid the corporate tax.

The conventional argument about capital gains taxation is more complicated. While short term investment gains are taxed at ordinary income rates, long-term capital gains can be illusory. Suppose, for instance, you made an investment that rose in value by 3 percent a year. At the end of 24 years it would have doubled in nominal value--- but the purchasing power of the sale proceeds would be exactly equal to the purchasing power of the original investment.

To tax that gain would amount to a tax on the asset itself. That would discourage saving and investment.

While people who don't save and invest are unlikely to be sympathetic, this would be shortsighted--- the greater the taxes on saving and investment, the higher the return investors will demand. Ultimately, that would mean higher interest rates for borrowers.

There is also a more pragmatic reason to keep taxes on capital low--- maximizing government tax revenues. People with large amounts of money--- like Warren Buffett--- have more choices about when, and how, to realize their income than most people. If the taxes on capital gains and dividends are high, they will avoid realizing income. They will pay less in taxes. If the taxes on capital gains and dividends are low, they will choose to realize income. And they will pay more in taxes.

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Personal finance writer Scott Burns is syndicated by Universal Press. His twice weekly column appears in newspapers from Boston to Seattle. He is the Chief Investment Strategist for AssetBuilder, Inc. Readers can register at www.scottburns.com. Questions/comments can be posted directly. They can also be sent, without registration, to scott@scottburns.com. Questions of general interest will be answered in future columns and on this blog.

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About scottb

Scott Burns has covered the changing world of personal finance and investments for nearly 40 years. Today, he ranks as one of the five most widely read personal finance writers in the country. Scott began his career as a newspaper columnist at the Boston Herald in 1977 where he was also the financial editor. Nationally syndicated in 1981 and now distributed by Universal Press, the column appears in newspapers from Boston to Seattle. In 1985 he joined the staff of the Dallas Morning News where his column quickly became one of the most widely read features in the paper. He left the Dallas Morning News in 2006 to become one of the founders of AssetBuilder and its Chief Investment Strategist. Burns is a graduate of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1962). He has written four books, including "The Coming Generational Storm" (MIT Press, 2004) coauthored with economist Laurence J. Kotlikoff. His fourth book, also coauthored with Kotlikoff, will be published this spring by Simon & Schuster. "Spend Til' the End" uses consumption smoothing to demonstrate the errors of conventional financial planning. His business experience includes working as a staffer for a major consulting company and service as a director and audit chairman of a NASDAQ listed manufacturing company. He and his wife divide their time between Dallas and Santa Fe, New Mexico.
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