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The Old-Fashioned Alternative to Investing

010907.jpg  What? You still haven't made your fortune?

  Beginning to think that you'll never get rich by investing?

  Don't despair.

  There is still hope.   It comes to us from an unlikely source, the Internal Revenue Service, in a study that is updated every three years.

The most recent study, imaginatively titled "Personal Wealth, 2001," was published at the end of 2005 in the thrilling "Statistics of Income Bulletin." This means we can expect the 2004 study around the end of 2008, so don't ask.

That's a tad late, but don't go thinking you can send your January estimated tax payment for 2006 at a more convenient time. Like 2011. The Internal Revenue Service isn't big on reciprocity.

But let's not carp.

The Internal Revenue Service is big on data about the income we earn and the assets all of us minions have accumulated. It develops the data because we are only transient custodians. Much of that income and related assets will eventually find its way into the IRS's ready hands.

So it's not surprising that it tracks our money better than the alumni department of your alma mater or that dogged charity to which you sent $15 in 1989.

That data is how the IRS may finally help you make your fortune: market research.

Data from the IRS is the first step on getting rich the old-fashioned way, through marriage. Its personal wealth studies are done by examining the estate tax filings for 2001, filings that were required for gross estates of at least $675,000.

If you are wondering what the estates of people who are thoroughly dead has to do with your prospects of becoming wealthy through marriage, just be patient. I will explain.

Our friends at the IRS assume that the distribution of wealth among the recently dead is representative of the distribution of wealth among those still living. So they take the estate filing data and squeeze it through a matrix of actuarial assumptions to make estimates of wealth among the living.

Including those you might marry.

Here are the basic findings. In 2001 some 7.4 million people, about 3.5 percent of the adult population, had a combined net worth of $13.8 trillion and accounted for nearly 33 percent of all net worth.

Four million of the 7.4 million were men, with an average net worth of $2 million.   Some 66 percent were married, but 16.3 percent were single, 8.7 percent were widowed, and 8.5 percent were divorced or separated. About 73,000 of these men had an individual net worth of at least $10 million.

It's a long trek to being listed in the Forbes 400.

There were 3.4 million wealthy women, with an average net worth of $1.7 million. There were 50,000 women with a net worth of at least $10 million. The good news for aspirant male fortune hunters is that only 49 percent of these lovely women were married. While only 14 percent of wealthy women were single, 26 percent were widowed, and nearly 11 percent were divorced or separated.

One thing the aspirant fortune hunter should gird for is that marrying well isn't likely to have you living in a palace. Burgeoning advertisements for houses that cost $1 million and more notwithstanding, your wealthy target will probably be like the title of the book "The Millionaire Next Door." While men with less than $1 million in net worth had nearly 21 percent of their net worth in their personal residence, those with at least $1 million but less than $10 million had only 10 percent. Men with at least $10 million had only 3 percent of their net worth in their personal residence.

So a bachelor with $10 million might easily be living in a (relatively) humble $300,000 house. Wealthy women had larger commitments to their personal residence, with women worth more than $10 million having 5 percent of their net worth in their home. That's a $500,000 house.   It could be more, but you have to wonder: Who is buying the palaces in Naples, Jackson Hole, and La Jolla?

Where do you go to hunt for a wealthy spouse?

Connecticut, New Jersey, and the District of Columbia score as the top three locations for millionaire density. A range of 3.2 percent to 2.4 percent of the adult population ranks as millionaires there. California ranks fourth for density, at 2.3 percent. But it ranks No. 1 for total number of millionaires at 572,000.

In sheer numbers, New York, Florida, Illinois and Texas follow California. But Texas, for all its tales of extravagant wealth, is pretty slim pickings. Only 1.2 percent of its adult population rank as millionaires.

All in all, it sounds like tough work.

On the web:

Want to read the entire report, with vastly more statistics? Visit: http://www.irs.gov/taxstats/index.html Click on "Personal Wealth", and then click on "2001" under "SOI Bulletin Articles"

Want other measures of wealth by age? Visit my wealth scoreboard

  

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Personal finance writer Scott Burns is syndicated by Universal Press. His twice weekly column appears in newspapers from Boston to Seattle. He is the Chief Investment Strategist for AssetBuilder, Inc. Readers can register at www.scottburns.com. Questions/comments can be posted directly. They can also be sent, without registration, to scott@scottburns.com. Questions of general interest will be answered in future columns and on this blog.

Click on the "Archive" navigation to see other columns. All comments are welcomed and appreciated.

Comments

 

ABModerator03 said:

Hi Scott,

I read with great interest your recent article on eligible millionaires. Texas has a very large population and due to the large number of so called minorities from Mexico(legal and illegal) the percentage for Texas is explainable low. Also, the northeast represents old money and is also a place of high cost of living.

Adjustments should be made for cost of living. I would suggest at least 15 to 20 %.

Ask John Kerry about his method of finding a wealthy mate. I understand that he worked very hard at it for many years.

Very truly,

David

From Scott Burns:

Right on.

The northeast, like California, also has a great many ZIP code millionaires--- people who became millionaires by virtue of where they chose to live. A townhouse in Brookline, MA that I purchased for $35,000 in 1965, for instance, is now worth well over $1 million. Ditto a rooming house I purchased in the South End of Boston in 1963 for $15,000: Condos on each of its 4 floors now sell for over $250,000.

That isn't "old money", either. Values in places like Nantucket are absolutely incredible.
January 15, 2007 7:58 AM
 

ABModerator03 said:

I continue to be alarmed by the recurring articles saying that most people are not financially ready for retirement. In fact, the article in the January 15, 2007, Dallas Morning News has stimulated me to write you. I know that every individual's case is different. Nevertheless, I see so many horrible accounts of unpreparedness that I am beginning to wonder whether I am prepared. And thus, here goes. Tell me what you think.

I am 68 years old and still working full-time, earning in excess of $100,000 annually. I have no dependents. I have no mortgage on my home, valued at about $250,000 and no liens on two vehicles. When I retire my social security should be in excess of $2800.00 per month. In a variety of instruments including securities, real estate, and money market funds I have about $1.8 million plus another $50,000 in liquid assets. I live comfortably, but not extravagantly, averaging about $4,000 per month in expenses. I have long-term care insurance. If I retire in 2007, am I likely to outlive my resources?

From Scott Burns:

Relax. You are more than prepared. Indeed, you are in a good position to increase your spending and standard of living when you retire and you can do it tomorrow.

Here are the basics. You can draw on your $1.8 million in investments at a rate of 4 percent a year with virtually no chance of running out of money inside your life expectancy. That's $72,000 a year or $6,000 a month. Your monthly Social Security income of $2,800 (which sounds right for a top of the wage base earner at 68) brings the total to $8,800 a month, more than twice your current annual spending.

That makes you better prepared than the vast majority of the population. You have additional security in your mortgage free home and the option of down-sizing or even renting.

The statistics show that about 30 percent of the population is quite unprepared for retirement. You're at the other end of the spectrum: I think your biggest task is going to be accepting the fact that you are financially secure and making decisions accordingly. You can afford to do things you haven't dared to do.
January 15, 2007 2:21 PM

About scottb

Scott Burns has covered the changing world of personal finance and investments for nearly 40 years. Today, he ranks as one of the five most widely read personal finance writers in the country. Scott began his career as a newspaper columnist at the Boston Herald in 1977 where he was also the financial editor. Nationally syndicated in 1981 and now distributed by Universal Press, the column appears in newspapers from Boston to Seattle. In 1985 he joined the staff of the Dallas Morning News where his column quickly became one of the most widely read features in the paper. He left the Dallas Morning News in 2006 to become one of the founders of AssetBuilder and its Chief Investment Strategist. Burns is a graduate of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1962). He has written four books, including "The Coming Generational Storm" (MIT Press, 2004) coauthored with economist Laurence J. Kotlikoff. His fourth book, also coauthored with Kotlikoff, will be published this spring by Simon & Schuster. "Spend Til' the End" uses consumption smoothing to demonstrate the errors of conventional financial planning. His business experience includes working as a staffer for a major consulting company and service as a director and audit chairman of a NASDAQ listed manufacturing company. He and his wife divide their time between Dallas and Santa Fe, New Mexico.
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