Q. In a recent column you said that "one of the best ways to deal with uncertainty is to turn a portion of your portfolio into a life annuity." But in the next Q&A you said, as you often do, to run fast from annuities. Why the advice to buy in the first question and to run in the second question?
---W.E., by email from Houston, TX
A. The answers aren't as contradictory as they seem. Why? There are many kinds of annuities. The only thing they have in common is that all are insurance-based products. Here's a list of the basic types:
- CD-like annuities will provide a fixed-interest-rate return for a chosen period of time, tax-deferred. The security of your investment depends on the general account of the insurance company.
- In a variable annuity you buy a mutual fund that is wrapped in an insurance contract. Your investment is no longer backed by the general account of the insurance company, and your return will depend on the underlying mutual fund. Your return is tax-deferred but, unlike plain mutual funds, your return is taxable at ordinary income rates when you make a withdrawal. Most equity mutual fund dividends and capital gains are taxed at only 15 percent. Add the insurance fees, and these investments don't make much sense for most people. (To learn more, check the Variable Annuity Watch section on my website, www.scottburns.com.)
- A new variety of variable annuity contract (also available using equity index products) offers to provide guaranteed living benefits. These contracts are expensive and complex. Worse, the terms are punitive if you change your mind. They are sold with great enthusiasm by the sales force because they carry some of the highest commissions.
- Unlike the preceding annuities, a life annuity does not accumulate income tax-deferred and offer different payout options at a later date. Instead, you exchange a sum of money today for an immediate promise of monthly income for the rest of your life. The insurance company takes the risk that you will live longer than your life expectancy. You take the risk that you won't live to expectancy.
The first and last kinds of annuities are simple and useful. You can use CD-like annuities to defer income for particular periods of time. They are often competitive with CDs.
Older people can often benefit from life-annuities. By converting a portion of their nest egg into a life annuity they can (1) increase their annual income and (2) be guaranteed of an income that won't change for the rest of their lives.
Variable annuities of all types, on the other hand, are sold products where the benefit to the consumer is generally far less than it appears to be and the benefit to the salesperson sways his judgment about what's good for you.
Q. Could you address the effect that the cost of another terrorist attack would have on investing? I think a lot of people are reluctant to be very aggressive for fear that another attack, perhaps more devastating, would make all of the investing rules you speak of obsolete.
---G.A., by email
A. In the early '60s, not long after the Cuban Missile Crisis, I worked as an assistant to a brilliant physicist who did consulting work for military contractors. My job was to be familiar with existing weapons systems and systems that might be developed with new technology. It was the height of the Cold War, so I read books like the late Herman Kahn's "On Thermonuclear War" and pondered the possible sale of mini-Polaris submarines that would enable low-budget nations to MIRV their neighbors.
During that time the head of a bank investment counsel department proudly told me that the bank had duplicate records of all securities held in their trust and management accounts. They were safely buried beneath hundreds of feet of stone, far from Manhattan.
So Manhattan might disappear in a nuclear first strike, but everyone would still know what they owned and would be able to prove it.
Not addressed: Would anything be worth anything?
We face the same issue today. And the question is still basically wrongheaded. While a devastating terrorist attack would change everything and render most ideas of value silly, it is more important to observe how completely we have adapted to the terrorist events that have already occurred.
Make a list. Start with the 1972 Olympic Games in Munich. Remember the first attack on the World Trade Center. And the second. Remind yourself of the bombings in Spain, England, and India.
We adapt. There are more human beings who live in hope and optimism than there are terrorists. There always will be.
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