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John and Jane Bighouse Downsize

By Scott Burns

AssetBuilder Registered Investment AdvisorDownsizing may be the best retirement decision millions of boomers can make. It’s relatively easy to do. And, as you’ll soon see, the lifetime benefits can be enormous.

But first, meet John and Jane Bighouse. They’re about to downsize. He’s 64. She’s 62. He earns $100,000 a year as a project manager, and Jane hopes to make $30,000 this year as a Realtor. They live well and, like many couples, finally got to buy their dream house ten years ago.

That’s when the last tuition bill was paid, the kids were off the payroll, and the dog died. John and Jane regularly joke about how weird it is that they now live in a 3,000-square-foot house, but they raised two kids in a 2,000-square-foot house. Their decision isn’t unique. A legion of advertisers sees empty nesters as the mother lode of discretionary income for travel, upscale products, home improvements, second homes, boats, and expensive cars.

So when the Bighouses had an opportunity to save big time, they opted instead for a larger house and a designer kitchen with granite countertops. It seemed like a good idea at the time.

Now they have a problem.

John is pretty sure his job will disappear next year. Showing cautious couples dozens of houses to make a sale is starting to wear Jane down. Both are thinking 2009 may be the year to retire, ready or not.

Not.

John has $200,000 in his company 401(k) plan. They’ve also got $10,000 in their checking account and $100,000 of mutual funds in taxable accounts. Most of their net worth is tied up in their home, now worth $800,000. That’s double the $400,000 purchase price ten years ago and only $250,000 remains on their 6 percent mortgage, with a monthly payment of $1,800. No one would consider them poor, but they are heading for a major drop in their standard of living.

Using ESPlanner software, the lifetime security planning software that I’ve mentioned in many earlier columns, John learns that their total income in 2009 will be $39,000. While it will rise to a maximum of $56,000 (in constant dollars) in a few years, that’s a gigantic drop from the $130,000 they’ll earn this year.

More than half of that $39,000 of income will come from his Social Security benefits of $21,565. Jane will start collecting benefits of $10,590 on his work record, but not until 2011 when she is 65. Assuming a 7.5 percent return on their investments and a 4 percent inflation rate, ESPlanner finds they can sustain a real, inflation-adjusted consumption of $18,536 a year for as long as they live as a couple. Jane will have the same equivalent amount in the years she is likely to be a widow.

This $18,536 a year is what they will have left to spend on themselves after they have paid their income taxes, housing expenses and Medicare premiums.

John thinks it will be difficult to get along on $18,536 a year. So does Jane.

Then Jane has a flash of insight. “John, if we raised two kids in 2,000 square feet, maybe we can retire in less than 3,000 square feet.”

“Are you suggesting we give up his and hers closets?”

“Yes. If we eliminated all the clothes we never wear, we’d only need about half a closet.”

“Do you have any particular size house in mind?” John asked.

"I’m thinking condo or townhouse. I’m thinking two bedrooms, two and a half baths, and about 1,200 square feet, 1,500 tops. That’s the space we can live in. We don’t need to keep the Perpetual Kid bedrooms. And if we lived in a smaller place I could, finally, get out of cooking Thanksgiving dinner.”

“How much do you think that might cost?”

“Let’s try $250,000.”

When they enter those changes into the program, they get a very pleasant surprise. The combination of selling to buy a smaller house, not having a mortgage, and increasing the taxable investment portfolio more than doubles their lifetime consumption. Instead of having to live on $18,536 a year, they’ll have $40,027 to spend on things beyond taxes, shelter and Medicare.

There are other decisions they can make, such as his delaying taking Social Security benefits, but few will increase their effective standard of living as much as downsizing. Other couples who are house rich and investment poor may have more, or less, dramatic results, but few would suffer from downsizing.

On the web:

Happy Downsizers, tell your story here

Consumption Smoothing Columns

My new book “Spend ‘til The End” (which has more on downsizing)

“Spend ‘til the End” on Amazon for $17.16

ESPlanner website

Comments

 

2B said:

This "concept" is a recurring discussion between me and my wife. We are empty nesters with the 3,000 sq ft money pit. She can't imagine our life without all of our "stuff" and two rooms dedicated to the occasional visitors. Trying to point out the financial aspects makes no difference to her. I believe that men have the weakness of identifying themselves with their career. Women identify themselves with their house. I'm ready to move on but she's still holding on.
June 21, 2008 8:26 AM
 

jdwalker04 said:

In my memory, anytime that you deal with the subject of downsizing, your conclusion is the suggestion to buy a smaller house or condo. Why do you seem to never mention rental of apartments? From our own years of apartment living as a young couple, we certainly are aware of the sometimes undesirable issues of the apartment environment. But considering only the money side of it, is there an advantage to the owned condo? We would get no tax benefit from itemizing, would have property and school taxes, and would be responsible for maintenance. Does condo ownership have some money benefit beyond these negatives that trumps apartment rental?
June 22, 2008 8:29 AM
 

scottb said:

2B: Couples cover the board. I'm met couples who sold their house easily and moved on to a smaller house, to a condo, or to become renters rather than owners. Whether it can be done depends a lot of attitude and attachment to things. Many people can't "give up" any of their possessions. Others look around and realize that they could easily live without most of the "stuff" they've accumulated. to JDwalker04: Lot's of people do this. I know a couple in the process right now. Ironically, it is often easier to find a rental unit than it is to find a condo or small house. Many of the condos that are for sale are in the "lux" market and have wildly upscale prices that negate the benefit of downsizing. The same market, however, may offer very nice apartments at reasonable rents. Scott
June 23, 2008 11:59 AM
 

flattax said:

Mr. Burns: Life style and personal security aside, do you have a retiree's financial "formula" to evaluate renting an apartment versus purchasing a condo? Thanks in advance.
June 24, 2008 12:31 PM
 

Barney said:

Scott- Does the ESPlanner factor in the reduced utility, property taxes, and maintenance associated with going from a 3K to 1.5K SF of space when downsizing? As I am contemplating downsizing, I expect also to benefit from these lower costs. On the other hand, there are the transaction costs of selling and buying the homes, and the costs of moving personal goods. Again, does the ESPlanner compute thes downside costs? Thanks.
June 24, 2008 6:40 PM
 

flatman said:

A lot depends on your definition of downsizing. About 3 years ago I moved to a less expensive area of the country from New England. I actually was forced to buy a bigger house than I wanted because many of the retirement areas were not building smaller houses then at least not unless you wanted to live in a development next door to a couple with 2 kids and a swing set. But I got much lower property taxes, much lower utility bills (my old heating would have been $6K this year), lower maintenance and better weather. Its was interesting to me that a lot of the building requirements in many of the desirable retirement areas have covenants that require houses to be be quite large.
June 25, 2008 1:25 PM
 

scottb said:

ESPlanner doesn't make any automatic assumptions about shelter costs. It allows you to enter the figures for the house you currently own (including financing) and to select a time to sell and move to another house or condo (or rental) with assumptions about its costs. Since costs are related to size and specific areas, you can estimate pretty close to what the actual figures are likely to be. From there, ESPlanner will calculate a level standard of consumption--- the amount of money, in constant dollars--- that you will have to spend after taxes, Medicare premiums, shelter expenses, and any other special items that you may have entered. Because it calculates a specific lifetime annual amount, the program allows you to make close comparisons of different decisions. Scott
July 2, 2008 1:41 PM
 

scottb said:

Flatman--- You're absolutely right. There are lots of choices out there but you may not find exactly what you want in the place you want to be. One good way to start is to pick up a copy of "Where To Retire" magazine. It regularly compares different cities and provides good data on shelter costs (not to mention taxes, etc). I think of down-sizing as a major exercise in adaptation. The more adaptable we are, the more we are likely to find good solutions to the issues we face. Scott
July 2, 2008 1:49 PM
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